PHX 112-107 NYK, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat NYK 112-107, and PHX's shots were worth 109.8 points to NYK's 103.0.

PHX 112-107 NYK, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHX859291.020/2318.8112109.8
NYK829085.617/2117.4107103.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.