DEN 87-110 ATL, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat DEN 110-87, and ATL's shots were worth 102.6 points to DEN's 91.8.

DEN 87-110 ATL, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	72	71	76.6	16/20	15.3	87	91.8
ATL	94	108	99.6	2/4	3.0	110	102.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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