BKN 105-121 LAC, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat BKN 121-105, but BKN's shots were worth 118.7 points to LAC's 101.2.

BKN 105-121 LAC, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	100	95	110.0	10/11	8.7	105	118.7
LAC	76	104	85.4	17/19	15.8	121	101.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.