ORL 91-103 PHI, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat ORL 103-91, and PHI's shots were worth 125.5 points to ORL's 110.1.

ORL 91-103 PHI, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	88	76	96.0	15/18	14.1	91	110.1
PHI	95	82	105.8	21/24	19.7	103	125.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.