BOS 125-117 TOR, January 9, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat TOR 125-117, but TOR's shots were worth 106.9 points to BOS's 101.3.

BOS 125-117 TOR, January 9, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	87	108	86.4	17/19	14.9	125	101.3
TOR	92	108	99.3	9/10	7.6	117	106.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.