MIN 131-122 CLE, January 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat CLE 131-122, but CLE's shots were worth 118.1 points to MIN's 111.0.

MIN 131-122 CLE, January 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	89	122	98.1	9/17	12.9	131	111.0
CLE	91	107	100.8	15/21	17.3	122	118.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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