CHI 113-116 MIA, January 29, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat CHI 116-113, but CHI's shots were worth 125.9 points to MIA's 125.8.

CHI 113-116 MIA, January 29, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	94	89	102.7	24/29	23.2	113	125.9
MIA	93	96	106.8	20/24	19.0	116	125.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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