GSW 120-113 MIL, January 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat MIL 120-113, and GSW's shots were worth 108.6 points to MIL's 100.5.

GSW 120-113 MIL, January 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	89	106	93.4	14/18	15.2	120	108.6
MIL	85	106	92.0	7/12	8.4	113	100.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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