SAS 107-91 LAL, January 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat LAL 107-91, and SAS's shots were worth 118.7 points to LAL's 107.4.

SAS 107-91 LAL, January 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS828496.223/2822.4107118.7
LAL867790.814/2216.691107.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.