BOS 110-114 DEN, January 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat BOS 114-110, but BOS's shots were worth 107.8 points to DEN's 105.9.

BOS 110-114 DEN, January 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	95	101	95.7	9/15	12.1	110	107.8
DEN	87	98	87.3	16/24	18.7	114	105.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.