NOP 103-111 LAL, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat NOP 111-103, but NOP's shots were worth 116.6 points to LAL's 110.9.

NOP 103-111 LAL, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	91	90	102.3	13/18	14.2	103	116.6
LAL	85	97	95.1	14/21	15.8	111	110.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.