MIN 122-94 MIA, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat MIA 122-94, and MIN's shots were worth 127.3 points to MIA's 114.6.

MIN 122-94 MIA, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN98104109.618/2317.6122127.3
MIA9882102.212/1612.394114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.