MEM 106-105 SAS, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat SAS 106-105, but SAS's shots were worth 122.5 points to MEM's 115.4.

MEM 106-105 SAS, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	98	96	103.8	10/15	11.7	106	115.4
SAS	102	90	108.0	15/18	14.5	105	122.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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