IND 116-120 CLE, January 6, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CLE beat IND 120-116, but IND's shots were worth 110.9 points to CLE's 109.1.

IND 116-120 CLE, January 6, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	93	102	95.9	14/19	15.0	116	110.9
CLE	88	108	96.0	12/18	13.1	120	109.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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