POR 137-117 UTA, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat UTA 137-117, and POR's shots were worth 124.4 points to UTA's 118.1.

POR 137-117 UTA, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
POR93117108.120/2116.3137124.4
UTA92103104.714/1713.4117118.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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