PHI 124-125 DEN, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat PHI 125-124, but PHI's shots were worth 125.6 points to DEN's 109.2.

PHI 124-125 DEN, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	98	109	109.7	15/19	16.0	124	125.6
DEN	81	104	87.9	21/28	21.4	125	109.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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