OKC 97-124 CHA, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat OKC 124-97, but OKC's shots were worth 128.1 points to CHA's 107.1.

OKC 97-124 CHA, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC9379106.318/2721.997128.1
CHA7710186.423/2520.7124107.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.