TOR 118-100 ATL, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ATL 118-100, and TOR's shots were worth 120.1 points to ATL's 115.8.

TOR 118-100 ATL, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	90	106	105.5	12/19	14.6	118	120.1
ATL	89	82	99.2	18/21	16.6	100	115.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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