LAL 120-114 MEM, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat MEM 120-114, but MEM's shots were worth 123.1 points to LAL's 117.7.

LAL 120-114 MEM, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	80	87	87.0	33/41	30.7	120	117.7
MEM	100	94	106.1	20/22	17.0	114	123.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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