ORL 135-127 IND, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat IND 135-127, and ORL's shots were worth 121.4 points to IND's 112.3.

ORL 135-127 IND, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	84	109	95.0	26/34	26.4	135	121.4
IND	87	111	95.9	16/21	16.4	127	112.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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