GSW 123-114 UTA, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat UTA 123-114, and GSW's shots were worth 115.6 points to UTA's 101.7.

GSW 123-114 UTA, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	87	105	95.9	18/24	19.7	123	115.6
UTA	86	103	87.6	11/17	14.1	114	101.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.