SAS 110-115 POR, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat SAS 115-110, but SAS's shots were worth 129.6 points to POR's 127.9.

SAS 110-115 POR, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	93	90	111.9	20/23	17.7	110	129.6
POR	91	99	107.5	16/27	20.5	115	127.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.