CHI 99-112 CHA, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHA beat CHI 112-99, and CHA's shots were worth 120.3 points to CHI's 111.5.

CHI 99-112 CHA, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI8789100.310/1411.299111.5
CHA9193101.019/2319.4112120.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.