MIA 115-125 MIN, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat MIA 125-115, and MIN's shots were worth 122.1 points to MIA's 117.6.

MIA 115-125 MIN, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	87	96	100.4	19/22	17.2	115	117.6
MIN	85	103	103.1	22/25	19.0	125	122.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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