LAL 128-121 MEM, January 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat MEM 128-121, but MEM's shots were worth 121.3 points to LAL's 109.5.

LAL 128-121 MEM, January 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	77	101	85.7	27/31	23.7	128	109.5
MEM	96	106	103.3	15/23	18.0	121	121.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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