NOP 109-122 POR, January 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat NOP 122-109, and POR's shots were worth 126.3 points to NOP's 122.2.

NOP 109-122 POR, January 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	98	96	108.5	13/18	13.6	109	122.2
POR	92	98	103.2	24/30	23.1	122	126.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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