MIL 122-121 CHA, January 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CHA 122-121, but CHA's shots were worth 113.4 points to MIL's 109.1.

MIL 122-121 CHA, January 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	87	106	95.9	16/18	13.2	122	109.1
CHA	82	98	90.1	23/28	23.3	121	113.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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