CLE 113-108 DEN, January 2, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Neither side had the better shots. CLE beat DEN 113-108, and the shots on each side were worth 112.8.

CLE 113-108 DEN, January 2, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	86	102	98.4	11/19	14.4	113	112.8
DEN	94	97	102.2	11/13	10.5	108	112.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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