DET 112-118 MIA, January 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat DET 118-112, and MIA's shots were worth 115.8 points to DET's 112.8.

DET 112-118 MIA, January 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	80	85	88.7	27/31	24.1	112	112.8
MIA	99	100	100.1	18/20	15.7	118	115.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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