BKN 96-120 HOU, January 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat BKN 120-96, but BKN's shots were worth 109.5 points to HOU's 104.8.

BKN 96-120 HOU, January 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BKN767886.018/3023.696109.5
HOU8210690.914/1813.9120104.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.