OKC 124-95 POR, December 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat POR 124-95, and OKC's shots were worth 128.8 points to POR's 107.3.

OKC 124-95 POR, December 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	90	104	107.6	20/26	21.2	124	128.8
POR	87	82	94.2	13/17	13.1	95	107.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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