MIL 113-114 WAS, December 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat MIL 114-113, but MIL's shots were worth 115.3 points to WAS's 112.1.

MIL 113-114 WAS, December 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	89	98	99.9	15/22	15.4	113	115.3
WAS	94	101	97.2	13/20	14.9	114	112.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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