IND 110-112 ORL, December 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat IND 112-110, and ORL's shots were worth 118.8 points to IND's 112.5.

IND 110-112 ORL, December 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
IND	83	84	87.1	26/32	25.5	110	112.5
ORL	90	89	96.5	23/28	22.3	112	118.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.