LAL 106-128 DET, December 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat LAL 128-106, but LAL's shots were worth 112.4 points to DET's 110.1.

LAL 106-128 DET, December 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	82	85	88.8	21/31	23.6	106	112.4
DET	76	107	88.0	21/29	22.1	128	110.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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