UTA 119-129 BOS, December 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat UTA 129-119, and BOS's shots were worth 117.7 points to UTA's 106.6.

UTA 119-129 BOS, December 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA879886.721/2519.9119106.6
BOS9410998.520/2319.3129117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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