MEM 136-139 PHI, December 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat MEM 139-136, and PHI's shots were worth 141.3 points to MEM's 123.7.

MEM 136-139 PHI, December 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	92	113	102.0	23/26	21.7	136	123.7
PHI	111	117	119.1	22/27	22.2	139	141.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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