POR 125-122 DAL, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat DAL 125-122, and POR's shots were worth 126.5 points to DAL's 117.6.

POR 125-122 DAL, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	97	108	109.4	17/22	17.1	125	126.5
DAL	91	103	98.9	19/24	18.7	122	117.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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