OKC 140-129 ATL, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat ATL 140-129, and OKC's shots were worth 129.3 points to ATL's 117.6.

OKC 140-129 ATL, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OKC	98	118	110.3	22/23	19.0	140	129.3
ATL	97	117	104.5	12/17	13.1	129	117.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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