CHI 101-136 MIN, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat CHI 136-101, and MIN's shots were worth 124.6 points to CHI's 118.3.

CHI 101-136 MIN, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CHI9389107.212/1411.1101118.3
MIN95117106.319/2518.4136124.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.