TOR 107-106 ORL, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat ORL 107-106, and TOR's shots were worth 140.4 points to ORL's 127.7.

TOR 107-106 ORL, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	99	86	117.5	21/29	22.9	107	140.4
ORL	91	83	106.3	23/27	21.4	106	127.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.