BKN 107-120 GSW, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat BKN 120-107, and GSW's shots were worth 117.7 points to BKN's 105.7.

BKN 107-120 GSW, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	80	90	87.7	17/23	18.0	107	105.7
GSW	77	92	90.1	28/34	27.6	120	117.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.