CHA 113-123 MIL, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CHA 123-113, but CHA's shots were worth 117.7 points to MIL's 110.6.

CHA 113-123 MIL, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	93	97	100.9	16/20	16.8	113	117.7
MIL	84	104	94.0	19/22	16.6	123	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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