LAC 112-99 DET, December 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DET 112-99, but DET's shots were worth 108.6 points to LAC's 101.3.

LAC 112-99 DET, December 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	75	84	76.0	28/29	25.4	112	101.3
DET	82	75	87.6	24/28	21.0	99	108.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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