TOR 141-127 GSW, December 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. TOR beat GSW 141-127, and TOR's shots were worth 143.8 points to GSW's 132.6.

TOR 141-127 GSW, December 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	110	125	129.4	16/18	14.4	141	143.8
GSW	96	102	108.9	25/28	23.7	127	132.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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