SAS 114-127 UTA, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat SAS 127-114, but SAS's shots were worth 135.8 points to UTA's 116.0.

SAS 114-127 UTA, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS9996119.018/2116.8114135.8
UTA8310794.720/2621.2127116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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