MIN 107-123 BKN, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BKN beat MIN 123-107, but MIN's shots were worth 121.2 points to BKN's 115.0.

MIN 107-123 BKN, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIN8387100.320/2820.8107121.2
BKN8410398.420/2116.5123115.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.