No. HOU beat CLE 117-100, but CLE's shots were worth 113.5 points to HOU's 107.8.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 88 | 102 | 91.5 | 15/21 | 16.3 | 117 | 107.8 |
| CLE | 96 | 93 | 104.7 | 7/11 | 8.7 | 100 | 113.5 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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