MIA 142-116 IND, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat IND 142-116, and MIA's shots were worth 140.4 points to IND's 115.4.

MIA 142-116 IND, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	107	122	123.8	20/21	16.6	142	140.4
IND	93	104	102.8	12/16	12.6	116	115.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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