ATL 125-128 NYK, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. NYK beat ATL 128-125, and NYK's shots were worth 134.7 points to ATL's 120.8.

ATL 125-128 NYK, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	89	103	99.8	22/27	21.0	125	120.8
NYK	95	101	108.3	27/32	26.4	128	134.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.