NOP 114-123 PHX, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat NOP 123-114, but NOP's shots were worth 124.9 points to PHX's 123.4.

NOP 114-123 PHX, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	87	85	98.5	29/33	26.4	114	124.9
PHX	98	110	108.1	13/19	15.3	123	123.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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